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The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, and the U.S. labor market is full of fog

Post time: 2025-11-07 views

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Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "[XM Foreign Exchange Market www.rmqpw.cnmentary]: The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, and the U.S. labor market is full of fog." Hope this helps you! The original content is as follows:

On November 7, in early Asian trading on Friday, Beijing time, the U.S. dollar index was hovering around 99.72. On Thursday, the U.S. dollar index continued to fall during the day, falling below the 100 mark, and expanded its losses during the U.S. trading session, finally closing down 0.45% at 99.67. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield finally closed at 4.088%, and the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield, which is sensitive to the Fed's policy rate, closed at 3.570%. Spot gold was on a "roller coaster". It once returned to above US$4,010 during the European trading session. However, before the US trading session, the price of gold plunged sharply, then wiped out all the gains during the day and turned down. It finally closed down 0.05% to close at US$3,977.17 per ounce; spot silver finally closed up 0.03% at US$48.01 per ounce. As the market is still worried about oversupply, crude oil fell for the fourth consecutive day. WTI crude oil once returned to above the $60 mark during the European trading session, but then quickly fell back and accelerated its decline before the US trading session, erasing all gains during the day. It finally closed down 0.13% at US$59.40/barrel; Brent crude oil finally closed down 0.18% at US$63.21/barrel.

Analysis of major currency trends

U.S. dollar index: As of press time, the U.S. dollar is hovering around 99.72. The latest U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) numbers will be released on Friday, however the longest government shutdown in U.S. history has limited the flow of official data sets. Even though private data releases tend to produce volatile results between releases, investors still default to paying more attention to private data releases. Results from the University of Michigan Survey of Consumer Sentiment and Consumer Inflation Expectations are still due for release on Friday, and they could become even more www.rmqpw.cnplicated for investors who miss out on meaningful government-level inflation and labor indicators.More important. Technically, if the U.S. Dollar Index falls below the 50 EMA at 99.54, it will head towards the nearest support, which is located in the 98.85–99.00 range.

The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, and the U.S. labor market is full of fog(图1)

Euro: As of press time, EUR/USD is hovering around 1.1542. EUR/USD regained some ground on Thursday as the U.S. dollar weakened, rising 1.1486% after rebounding from a daily low of 0.45. Weak U.S. jobs data fueled speculation the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at its December meeting. Technically, EUR/USD is trying to stabilize above the resistance at 1.1515–1.1530. If this attempt is successful, EUR/USD will move towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 1.1585–1.1600 zone.

The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, and the U.S. labor market is full of fog(图2)

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3136. GBP/USD climbed on Thursday, pushed higher by overly bearish price action plaguing the pair and a surprisingly close Bank of England (BoE) vote on the direction of interest rates, giving investors hopes the BoE might act to support the UK's sluggish economy, although inflation measures remain high. Technically, the nearest resistance level for GBP/USD is in the 1.3145–1.3160 ​​range. A break above the 1.3160 ​​level will push GBP/USD towards resistance levels at 1.3250–1.3265.

The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, and the U.S. labor market is full of fog(图3)

Gold and crude oil market trend analysis

1) Gold market trend analysis

In the Asian market on Friday, gold hovered around 3992.36. Gold edged higher amid a weaker dollar and renewed safe-haven demand. Traders awaited preliminary readings from the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey due later on Friday. Concerns about a prolonged U.S. government shutdown and uncertainty over the legality of tariffs could boost safe-haven flows, supporting gold prices. The U.S. government shutdown has entered its sixth week, and there appears to be no end in sight to the stalemate. The Senate currently does not plan to vote on Thursday on the House-passed measure to reopen the government, after the bill failed to advance for the 14th time on Tuesday.

The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, and the U.S. labor market is full of fog(图4)

Technical: Gold prices edged lower within a familiar range as bears attempt to regain control of the short-term trend. Gold prices are currently testing the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. On the upside, bulls need to overcome the resistance range of $4020-$4050, which has successfully suppressed gold prices in multiple recent trading sessions.Price's upward attempt. If this mark can be clearly broken, it may trigger subsequent buying and push gold prices towards the $4100-4150 area. On the downside, the 50-period simple moving average at $3,985 now acts as immediate support. If gold prices continue to fall below this level, it may trigger new selling pressure, and then test the support level of $3,900 - a level where bargain hunting has appeared many times in the past to curb the bears' offensive. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved back above its 50 axis, indicating improved bullish momentum, but has yet to signal a clear breakout.

2) Crude oil market trend analysis

On Friday’s Asian session, crude oil was trading around 59.53. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude extended losses for a third straight day on Wednesday, falling below the key $60.00 per barrel mark and hitting a one-week low after the latest report from the U.S. Energy www.rmqpw.cnrmation Administration (EIA) showed a larger-than-expected build in inventories.

The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, and the U.S. labor market is full of fog(图5)

Technical aspect: Oil prices continue to stay above 59.40 and 58.48 (of course, above the 60 integer mark by the way). These two supports are still valid, and oil prices are expected to continue to consolidate above them, waiting for the moving average to be consolidated before continuing to launch an upward attack.

Foreign exchange market trading reminder on November 7, 2025

16:00 Fed Williams delivers a speech

20:00 Fed Vice Chairman Jefferson delivers a speech

2 1:30 Canadian employment number in October

23:00 Initial value of the one-year inflation rate expectation in the United States in November

23:00 Initial value of the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in November in the United States

Next day 00 :00 The New York Fed's 1-year inflation expectations in October in the United States

The next day at 02:00 The total number of oil drilling rigs in the United States for the week to November 7

The next day at 04:00 Fed Governor Milan gave a speech on stable currencies and monetary policy< /p>

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